Monthly Comment
“GEO-MACRO “: A new Investment Framework
A light thesis on why geopolitical events don’t translate into market events.
8th October 2024
Whats on our minds
Each month we look at current events and trends that shape our thinking and influence the markets and our investments. It’s an informal style of feedback and commentary from the team at CGWM.
A light thesis on why geopolitical events don’t translate into market events.
The post-pandemic economy is a complex puzzle. While recession fears linger, the reality might be more nuanced. Different groups experience economic stress differently, and traditional indicators may not accurately reflect the current situation.
The recent market turmoil was sparked by the unraveling of carry trades. Investors had borrowed cheap Japanese yen to invest globally, but rising Japanese interest rates forced them to unwind these positions, triggering massive sell-offs.
While Investment philosophies shift and change over time, certain principles never change.
Exploring El Salvador’s political turnaround. Could South Africa learn a thing or two?
The dark side of Artificial Intelligence and the proliferation of online scams.
